Meirelles Sees Brazil Inflation Slowing to 4.5% (Update1)

By Andre Soliani and Camila Fontana
Aug. 29 (Bloomberg) -- Brazilian central bank President Henrique Meirelles said he sees signs that inflation is slowing back to the 4.5 percent target for the first time since policy makers started raising interest rates in April.
``Fortunately, the central bank is taking the right measures and we are seeing real signs that inflation is converging to the mid-point of the target,'' Meirelles told reporters in Sao Paulo today.
Policy makers have increased Brazilian interest rates at each of their last three meetings, pushing the so-called Selic rate to 13 percent from a record-low 11.25 percent in a bid to curb the fastest inflation since 2005.
As food prices ease, economists expect annual inflation, as measured by the benchmark IPCA index, to slow for the first time in 10 months, according to a Bloomberg survey. The national statistics agency on Sept. 5 will report that consumer prices in the 12 months through August rose 6.2 percent, according to the median estimate of seven economists.
Yields on interest rate futures fell after Meirelles spoke. The yield on the contract for January 2010 delivery, the most actively traded in Sao Paulo, fell as much as 4.5 basis points to 14.640 percent from 14.685 percent yesterday. At 12:58 p.m. New York time, the yield was 14.670 percent.
``Markets reacted positively to the comments by Meirelles that inflation is in fact slowing,'' Roberto Padovani, chief economist for Brazil at Banco WestLB AG in Sao Paulo, said in a telephone interview.
Still, Padovani expects the central bank to increase the so-called Selic rate to 13.75 at its Sept. 9-10 meeting and will push it up to 14.75 percent by year-end.msg wi
Central bankers at their July 22-23 meeting said they will act ``vigorously'' to bring inflation to target from over 6 percent to 4.5 percent next year, according to the minutes of the meeting published July 31.